And then there was one.
One last day of games.
One last edition of Big 12 Outlook.
One week until a champion is crowned and an automatic bid is awarded.
One day after that, K-State will know its tournament fate.
One hell of a week awaits us.
| Seed* | Record* | RPI | Pomeroy | Sagarin | Streak | Best Win** | Worst Loss** | Coach | |
| Kansas | 1 | 14-2 | 8 | 11 | 12 | L-1 | Missouri | UMass | Bill Self |
| Missouri | 2 | 13-3 | 11 | 10 | 9 | W-1 | Kansas | Nebraska | Mike Anderson |
| Oklahoma | 3 | 13-3 | 4 | 15 | 8 | L-1 | Purdue | Arkansas | Jeff Capel |
| Kansas State | 4 | 9-7 | 77 | 38 | 42 | L-1 | Missouri | Oregon | Frank Martin |
| Texas | 5 | 9-7 | 36 | 27 | 26 | W-1 | UCLA | Arkansas | Rick Barnes |
| Oklahoma State | 6 | 9-7 | 27 | 33 | 33 | W-6 | Texas | Baylor | Travis Ford |
| Texas A&M | 7 | 8-8 | 33 | 49 | 46 | W-5 | Texas | Baylor | Mark Turgeon |
| Nebraska | 8 | 7-9 | 76 | 67 | 70 | W-1 | Missouri | UMBC | Doc Sadler |
| Baylor | 9 | 6-10 | 66 | 62 | 56 | L-1 | Arizona State | Iowa State | Scott Drew |
| Iowa State | 10 | 4-12 | 161 | 115 | 117 | L-2 | Houston | SDSU | Greg McDermott |
| Texas Tech | 11 | 3-13 | 121 | 94 | 100 | W-1 | Kansas | Lamar | Pat Knight |
| Colorado | 12 | 1-15 | 231 | 184 | 206 | L-10 | Iowa State | Montana State | Jeff Bzdelik |
Note: As any of these numbers change, I will color-code them to indicate direction of change.
Team names that are colored indicate a change in seed.
(green = upward, red = downward)
*Predicted
**According to Pomeroy rating
The following seeds are locked: No. 1 Kansas, No. 8 Nebraska, No. 9 Baylor and No. 12 Colorado.
K-State fans should first root for their team to beat Colorado (and if we can't do that, then the hell with the NCAA Tournament, obviously). Following that game, the twinbill of interest will be Texas at Kansas and Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, in which all good K-Staters will be forced to do something despicable, but necessary: root for the Jayhawks and Sooners to win.
That will give us the No. 4 seed, crucial if we are to make an improbable run to the conference finals. Along the way, we will probably have to beat Texas and Kansas. Barring that, we will watch our team secure its third consecutive first-day bye in the Big 12 Tournament only to see as many as three teams below us in the standings go the Big Dance over us.
In other happenings, Kansas' upset loss likely cost the Jayhawks a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, while Oklahoma State and Texas A&M continue to be the two hottest teams in the conference and are certainly peaking at the right time (although a favorable schedule helps, obviously).
There were no changes in the Pomeroy or Sagarin projections this week.
Big 12 Outlook was an oh-so-satisfying 5-1 this week. Alan Voskuil Appreciation Night was the best missed pick I've ever had.
As you can see below, I like all the home teams to win this week, except Texas A&M. Not coincidentally, I'm also rooting for all these outcomes as well, so K-State can receive the No. 4 seed like Outlook has been predicting for the last three weeks.
Cumulative pick record: 70-20 (.778)
Obviously, R serves only as a tiebreaker, so it is only listed when there is a split between P and S.
Results are plugged into this wonderful tool to generate the predicted records and seed order.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 recs | 1 comments
Let's hope Outlook...
…is as accurate as ever this week.
We need to figure out a way to have a faster start to the season. I’m tired of seeing teams below us in the Big 12 go to the Dance over us, but that wouldn’t happen if we wouldn’t stumble through the first two months of the season. That will probably be Frank’s biggest challenge next year.
TB - March 6, 2009
You must Login with your SB Nation account and be a member of Bring On The Cats to post a comment.